Markets· August 16, 2026 at 02:38 p.m.
Fed Rate Hike Odds Plummet Amid Soft Inflation Reports, but Key Indicators Remain Elevated
Key takeaways
- Fed rate hike odds have dropped to 25%
- Energy costs remain elevated
- Core inflation is above 2%
Wider implications: Resilient economic growth and elevated core inflation rates suggest that investors should not treat the current 25% September hike probability as a certainty. Smart investors should position their portfolios accordingly, anticipating potential changes in the odds before the next inflation surprise.
