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Markets· August 16, 2026 at 09:03 p.m.

Bank of America Reports Convergence in U.S. Consumer Spending, but K-Shaped Economy Persists

Bank of America Reports Convergence in U.S. Consumer Spending, but K-Shaped Economy Persists

Key takeaways

  • Household spending growth converging across income groups
  • Lower-income wage growth accelerating
  • Uncertainty about causes of wage growth increase

Bank of America's latest consumer data shows a 'great convergence' in household spending across lower-, middle-, and higher-income households, with discretionary spending growing at nearly the same rate for all groups. However, the top 5% continue to spend at a faster pace due to strong stock market performance. The convergence is particularly significant in discretionary categories, but the underlying wealth divide remains intact. After-tax wage growth for lower-income households has accelerated toward 5%, aligning with spending growth. This shift could indicate a strengthening bottom of the K-shaped economy, although it's unclear whether this is due to job switching or temporary tax withholding adjustments.

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